能预知未来的水晶球
2013-01-31
大家还记得小时候我们看的一部动画片《多啦A梦》吗?那时候我最羡慕的就是多啦A梦的时光穿梭机,总梦想着有一天能坐上去看看未来的世界。现在,埃亚尔·吉佛给我们提出了一个设想,那就是我们只需要手捧着一个水晶球,就能预知未来,这也太不可思议了吧,难道这就是传说中巫师手中拿着的占卜球吗?
Eyal Gever: My idea to change the world is a crystal ball 1) app, a machine that will help us predict the future. If you dropped all the worlds data into a black box, it could become a crystal ball that will let us see the future. When knowledge becomes a network, all is possible. Imagine the power that happens to knowledge when very smart 2)algorithms that grasps humanity will analyze that content and 3)visualize that data. You could explore the past, present and 4)prospective future of almost anything in a matter of seconds. Having a super-tool that can help us understand relationships between 5)entities and events over time can foresee what happen[sic] in the future and advise us on taking the best decision, even test what would happen if you choose option A over option B. As Macbeth asked the witches, “If you can look into the seeds of time and say which grain will grow and which will not, speak then to me.” My crystal ball app will make that a reality.
埃亚尔·吉佛: 我改变世界的想法是开发一个水晶球应用程序,它能帮助我们预知未来。如果你把世界上所有的数据扔进一个黑色的盒子里,它就会变成一个让我们看到未来的水晶球。当知识变得网络化,一切皆有可能。设想一下,如果用掌控人类文明的精密算法去分析那些内容和数据,在知识上能产生多大的力量。几秒钟之内,你就能探索几乎所有事物的过去、现在和未来。拥有一个能让我们提前了解实体与事件之间关系的超级工具,能预知未来,建议我们做出最好的选择,甚至能够告诉你选A不选B的后果。就像麦克白问巫婆们时所说的,“如果你们能够根据时间的种子判断出哪些庄稼能生长哪些庄稼不能生长,你们再来跟我说话”。我的水晶球程序会把它变成事实。
小链接
《麦克白》( Macbeth)是莎翁的四大悲剧之一,且被认为是其悲剧中最阴暗的一部。这部作品以一个反面人物做主角,写的是苏格兰大将麦克白和班柯征服叛乱后班师回国,路上遇见三个女巫。女巫预言麦克白将成为考特爵士和未来的君王,又预言班柯的子孙也要做国君,而且比麦克白更有地位,更富有。回国后,国王果然将考特爵士的头衔给了麦克白,证实了女巫的第一个预言。后来麦克白在妻子的唆使下,趁国王邓肯来他城堡做客时杀害了国王。国王的两个儿子逃离,麦克白夫妇登上了国王和王后的宝座。后来他又杀害了班柯。最后麦克白夫人发疯自杀,受迫害的贵族麦克德夫和邓肯的儿子从英国进军,消灭了麦克白。